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"There is no reason why India and EU cannot form an FTA"
The Europe-India
Chamber of Commerce is a not-for-profit non-governmental
organisation registered under the Belgian law, which serves as the key
liaising organisation representing the views of enterprises
and semi-business groups of India and Europe having business interest
in each others’ countries. Secretary General Sunil Prasad talks about
the key issues impacting India-EU business relations in an exclusive
interview with ICFDC.com's Adite Chatterjee.
ICFDC.com: There
has been a lot of interest lately about India in the EU, particularly
after the signing of the India-EU Strategic Partnership. Is this being
translated into on ground activities in terms of greater joint venture
partnerships, more collaboration between business entities in India and
EU, etc.?
Europe and India are important regional and global players and
partnership between the world's two largest democratic entities is an
important constituent for stabilisation of global peace, stability and
progress. India’s image in Europe is changing as a dynamic trailblazer
with knowledge-based economy. A vibrant India is marching ahead but in
order to make quantum leaps it has to forge strategies and develop new
paradigms for enhancing trade and investment. The strategic partnership
agreement adds a new dimension to deepen economic and political ties
between the two sides: one which is the second most populous country
with a 260 million middle class population and the other with a 25-country
union with 455 million people trying to emerge as a global powerhouse.
By 2020, India with 1.2 billion people is likely to emerge as the
fourth. largest economy and therefore the partnership represents a
fundamental change in how the two parties approach the geo-political
and economic relationship.Further, the strategic partnership with the
EU should be seen in the context of India’s new economic diplomacy as a
part of India’s foreign policy. This partnership can become realistic
if both parties become stakeholders and build trust without
bureaucratic interference. However, in social and other than business
circles, the expectation is somewhat lukewarm and mixed. Amongst
several reasons, one of the most important one is the lack of awareness
and the non-participation of the majority of economic players. What is
further missing is the right attitude and awareness to do business in
India in spite of several positive investment policy changes. On the
issue of how the EU and India could improve synergies between
companies, corporations and sectors, much requires to be done. There is
higher awareness among US companies about investing in Research
and Development areas with no significant presence of European
companies.
What in your
opinion are the areas - in the India-EU business context - that
have the maximum potential.
Both continents have enormous potential to increase trade in both
directions. India has its strengths and weaknesses and these must be
clearly assessed. India needs to ensure protection of investment, good
governance and transparency and above all a stable political situation.
While India remains loathe to opening up of its market under pressure
from several trading partners as well as WTO, there are positive signs
that it is willing to loosen control over its economic space through a
variety of bilateral free trade arrangements.
Could you identify
some recent examples of increased economic cooperation between India
and the EU.
Both India and EU have signed several bilateral agreements such as
Bilateral Investment Protection, Double Taxation Avoidance, Science
& Technology Agreement, Information Technology, Customs, Galileo,
Maritime Agreement, Air Services Agreement and Energy. These
agreements provide good basis for regulatory and institutional
framework to enhance trade cooperation and address the bottlenecks for
creating conducive regulatory environment for investment. Among these
agreements, India’s Joint Vision Statement on Information Technology
promoting cooperation in the field of information and communications
technology assumes high importance. The EU is extremely important for
India’s burgeoning information technology and outsourcing sectors that
have somehow become political issues in the US and to some extent in
some EU countries too. This could provide India an opportunity to enter
into the European job market such as the information technology sector,
which has a short fall of more than 700,000 knowledge based
workers.
In the US, there
is a huge backlash against Indian outsourcing companies. What is the situation in EU
countries?
In the US, the backlash is driven by politics rather than economics.
The outsourcing by the US companies is helping the US economy in terms
of quality and value added. I don’t think the difference is more than
20 per cent in absolute terms but in terms of standard return, the US
should be happy to have such talent in India. By IT I do not mean
Information technology alone - I mean Indian Talent. In many ways,
Europe is more mature and things are different in Europe for the
following reasons. The countries of the European Union face a massive
shortage of skill labour in coming years. It is estimated that the EU
needs nearly 80 million immigrants by the year 2050 if it is to
maintain the present number of working age residents. Western Europe
stands to lose € 380 billion due to the shortage of skilled IT staff
alone. While the future of the Indian software sector seems bright,
lack of proper implementation of the GATS provisions and inadequate
liberalisation in Mode 4 may dampen prospects in this sector. Mode 4
under which temporary movement of persons from provider country
who go to consumer country for delivering services (Indian software
engineers going to EU countries or US on assignment), is of
special interest to India. While the GATS deals with trade in services,
and the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade, 1994 (“GATT”) regulates
trade in goods, there is a strong interdependence and co-relation
between these two multilateral instruments. To ensure that the GATT is
properly implemented, services under the GATS too have to be
progressively liberalised. Further, Indian IT people do not face
hostility in Europe. This is manifested in the number of IT people
working in Europe; and the number increasing everyday. Many Indian and
European companies have set up joint ventures in the IT
sector.
Despite the
Strategic Partnership, Indian IT companies don't seem to have benefited
from it. Due to strict labour laws in the EU, Indian companies are not
able to ramp up their operation in Europe. Your comment?
The EU countries have to find out what is inspiring IT professionals
from India to head for the US and why is Europe failing to evoke any
palpable excitement among Indian techies? Compared to US policy the
European economies are being held hostage by their inability to shrug
their image of being deeply conservative, rigid, introverted, parochial
and hierarchical societies. The widespread use of the ENT has emerged
as one of the major artificial barriers preventing free movement of
service providers from India. Many EU countries use ENTs to regulate
trade flows in one or more modes and all or selected service sectors.
Under the ENT arrangement, government grants market access to natural
persons under some conditions such as local market needs or management
needs. The discretionary nature of ENT reduces the predictability of
trade through Mode 4. It actually nullifies the opportunity for market
access otherwise extended in Article XVI of GATS which includes ENT in
the market access barriers list.
Some 14 countries
in the EU are opposed to allowing Indian textiles and clothing into the
EU duty-free or at reduced rates of import duty under their revised
generalized system of preferences (GSP). Does this augur well for the
Strategic Partnership?
Absolutely not. This is a negative attitude which does no good for the
EU and India. The European Union must redefine its trade policy in the
context of broad agreement and its hunger for a bigger market such as
India. The EU should also ask its member countries to upgrade its
technology, become efficient and compete with non-EU countries.
What are the other
challenges in the India-EU relationship?
Although the investment climate in India has gone through a sea-change
smashing barriers and actively seeking investment; many investors still
see India as a difficult market, incompatible with international
investment patterns. The Indian bureaucracy, that has been at the
receiving end and generally seen as a deterrent not just to
investment but also to professionals who have to travel to India, has
changed in some respect. Yet a lot more needs to be done to improve an
inefficient and slow-moving bureaucracy which is enough to frustrate
any potential investor. One wonders why can't India allow simple
procedures at least in sectors in which FDI is supposed to be allowed
under the so-called automatic route? A NRI corporate investor must get
permission from the Foreign Investment Promotion Board (FIPB) and the
Reserve Bank of India to purchase even one share in an Indian company.
Both FIPB and RBI must simplify the procedure in order to attract
investors. It would also be better if Indian commercial banks are
allowed to verify and receive inward investment as is done in many
countries. There are other examples of reducing the unnecessary
administrative and bureaucratic involvement of government.
India-EU share a healthy trade relationship already and therefore the
immediate and direct effect of the EU enlargement for India will be
burgeoning trade prospects. Bilateral trade has been the bedrock of the
India-EU relationship. Over the years, the EU has emerged as India's
largest trading partner with nearly a quarter of our exports going to
the EU. With new members acceding to the EU, the tariffs on some
products are likely to be raised to the common external level. In
this backdrop, it is imperative that India formulates its trade policy
in such away that it is able to effectively combat the problem of
non-tariff barriers. Thus, it is imperative that India continues to
strengthen its trade relations with the EU and, at the same, explore
the possibility of a Free Trade Agreement with the EU so as to gain, at
least to some extent, preferential and duty-free access to the European
market. When countries such as Mexico, which is a part of NAFTA, formed
an FTA with the EU in 1999 itself, there is no reason why India cannot.
What is likely to
be the impact of the French rejection of the EU Constitution on
India-EU partnership?
There will be none or very little. Fear of disintegration of Europe
will keep the EU united and all their policies will be on track after
the initial hiccups. So far as India is concerned, the only immediate
effect that I see is the weakness in the EU to take bold trade
decisions. The Doha Round still has to see the light of the day and if
the leaders in the EU become weak, it will affect trade reform which is
the core of success of liberalisation of trade. Opening of the market
by both and reducing tariff structure process will be weakened but I
hope that Europe will recover from this and move in the direction that
is good for Europe. Frankly, I am not too bothered about the French
rejection of the charter as the leaders will now at least try to reach
to the people. This has been missing for sometime now.
In which sectors
can India look forward to greater FDI from the EU?
Although the Indian business environment is improving in multiple
respects and foreign investment out of India is more than $1 billion
now, India has a long way to go. Many Indian companies are going global
with their business strategies and are acquiring global
competitiveness. They are also going beyond the traditional sector like
IT and Pharmaceuticals. These companies are now investing abroad partly
to escape weaknesses in the domestic business environment and to build
assets and skills that are slow to develop at home. India’s business
environment is still not very efficient and productive. A fundamental
shift is required in the nature of doing business which must support
higher level of productivity and innovation. One of the big factors of
poor investment in India is the slow speed of the decision making
process, red tape, corruption, bad governance, rigid labour laws,
inadequate protection of intellectual property rights, judicial delays
and bureaucracy. The Indian economy can absorb up to US $155
billion of foreign direct investment in the infrastructure sector over
the next ten years in which public-private partnership can thrive. Capital requirements in infrastructure are very large. It is
estimated that airports and railways alone will need $55 billion in the
next 10 years, and power and telecom $75 billion and $25 billion respectively in the next five
years. The Indian government’s plan to set up a regulatory framework
for infrastructure to create an enabling environment for attracting FDI
is an interesting development. However, much will depend on its
transparency and independence based on international best practices. It
is the manufacturing sector, comprising a variety of engineering and
other products, which can play an important role in exports. The
automobile and auto ancillary sectors are good examples. Recent easing
of the FDI norms in the housing sector is certainly sending positive
signals. Other potential sectors that are attractive to EU investors
include telecommunication, insurance and banking. Energy,
pharmaceutical industry including herbal medicine as alternative
medical therapy also offer good potential for growth. Biotechnology
occupies a special place and India has special advantage that can make
it a bio-tech leader. On the issue of herbal medicine, the existing law
does not allow the European citizens to opt for or have a choice for
this alternative therapy. Effective measures are required to make
changes in the medical insurance sector. Having competitive cost
advantage on its side, what India needs in these sectors is quality
production with adequate quality control facilities and an aggressive marketing effort.
Agro-processing is considered a sector with immense potential for
exports given India’s surplus production of a large variety of fruits
and vegetables.
What are the
short-term goals of Europe-India Chamber of Commerce in terms of
fostering greater cooperation?
The Europe-India Chamber of Commerce is a non-profit generating
non-governmental organisation registered under the Belgian law, serves
as the key liaising organisation representing the views of companies,
enterprises and semi-business groups of India and Europe having
business interest in each others’ countries. The body plans to develop
a network of contacts and expertise. Further, with so much of fast
developing business interest including visits by European and Indian
business leaders and other active professionals, the body will work to
provide substantial input to the various interest groups. The main
responsibility of the organisation is to facilitate, co-ordinate,
liaise and advise;advisors will be drawn from a broad cross-section of
the European and Indian business community who are typically based in
most Member States of the EU. As such, the organisation will represent
some committed business supporters of the European Union and India.
[Adite Chatterjee,
15 June 2005]
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